"Editor, the exchange rate of Nagariel has risen again..."
A reporter knocked on the door that was slightly ajar in the office and stuck his head in to speak to the magazine editor who was working on the other side.
As the editor of the "Wade International Financial Observer" magazine, which can be published in multiple countries internationally, sometimes his work and the knowledge he possesses, professionally, are not the same thing.
After a few seconds, the editor put down his pen, rubbed his eyes, and sighed.
"I know, you go ahead and get busy..."
He casually dismissed the reporter at the door, and it was clear from the tone of his voice that he was feeling a bit down.
Actually, this is quite normal. The mainstream opinion globally is that Nagariel will continue to grow, and indeed, that is the case. Up to now, the exchange rate of Nagariel has always been rising, and with the initiation of trade talks between the Federation and Gafura, Nagariel has shown strong momentum once again.
As a seasoned editor, he is well aware that what Nagariel is pegged against is not Federation Sol, but rather the interests of the Federation within Nagariel.
Once the trade talks between the Federation and Gafura proceed smoothly and several cooperations are established, then the cheap labor resources of Nagariel can be fully utilized, and the appreciation of Nagariel would naturally follow.
But he cannot go about telling others this; mainstream media are all saying it, so the magazine he works for cannot say it.
They not only shouldn't follow the main trend but rather publish a series of contrarian statements to attract people's attention; this is the fundamental way for the magazine's survival and also how they attract investors.
When others praise, you criticize, there will always be people who, based either on wanting to understand "what nonsense you spout and then criticize your ignorance" or "wanting to see how ridiculously you try to persuade me," will purchase the magazine; for the magazine itself, this is a successful marketing strategy.
Yet, the editor feels a bit reluctant and powerless.
They have just published a pessimistic outlook for Nagariel's upcoming trend, and the real-time fluctuation of Nagariel's exchange rate has hit them hard in the face, making the editor's stomach ache a little.
But there is no way around it; this is how the magazine survives, and if they don't do it this way, they will soon be drowned in the mainstream market.
No brand influence, nothing outstanding, without a completely different viewpoint, why would anyone choose such a magazine without any value?
Just when he was wondering whether he should change jobs, the phone on the desk rang abruptly, startling him.
Cursing a few words inwardly, he picked up the phone, "This is International Observer magazine, I am the editor-in-chief..."
He omitted the "Wade" part, making it more succinct, thus making the magazine's name sound more high-end and classy.
Soon, the editor's face showed a strange expression because the caller's purpose seemed a bit... unbelievable.
"I want to know where your judgement that Nagariel's exchange rate will soon collapse comes from and also want to inquire whether your magazine accepts sponsorship or investment."
The editor quickly replied, "Of course, of course, we accept any nature of sponsorship and also accept investment, but there is a requirement for the proportion of shares invested, there is a lower and upper limit."
Investing one dollar is an investment, investing a million is also an investment. Previously, incidents have happened all over the world under the guise of "investment inspection" to swindle meals and drinks or even lewd advances. To prevent such a matter from happening in the magazine, the editor informed the other party that there is a lower limit to investment.
The gentleman on the other end of the phone chuckled, "That's not a problem, you can have someone call... this number to discuss investment matters, but I want to know first why you made such a judgement, predicting Nagariel will collapse."
Opportunity, an unprecedented opportunity. Although the editor is reluctant to admit it, at this moment he has to acknowledge that the magazine's president indeed has some expertise in operations; their magazine was barely founded yet has already attracted investors. He no longer feels uncomfortable contradicting his own heart to publish some contrarian thoughts.
He slightly organized his thoughts, then said, "This gentleman..."
"You can call me Herbs."
"Mr. Herbs? My goodness, I know you, Mr. Herbs, your betting agreement with Lynch shocked the world's financial community!" The editor became even more excited; this is a celebrity.
If, in recent years, besides the Federation's financial collapse, there is anything else that could make people feel amazed and incredible, then the billion-dollar bet is one of them.
Don't think just because people say Nagariel isn't valuable; even if it isn't valuable, it is still money, and it's a billion, which roughly equates to eighty to ninety million Federation Sol, over forty million Fla; this money isn't something just anyone can have.
Financial bets of this scale are already enough to shake the whole world. Reportedly, many countries plan to include this "unprecedented" bet in financial-related books after the result comes out, as a case for future finance scholars to research and analyze carefully.
Now one of the parties involved in the bet calls, even if Mr. Herbs doesn't invest in the magazine, just this phone call is enough for the magazine to gain prominence internationally within the finance industry.
The editor-in-chief quickly pressed the record button, as he needed to keep this recording, but he wouldn't notify the other party.
"Mr. Editor-in-Chief, please let us return to our questions, okay?"
"What is your basis for judging that Galil's exchange rate will collapse? I'm only interested in that right now!"
"Okay, okay, I was too excited, I'll tell you my judgment now!", the editor-in-chief collected himself, reorganized his language, and began to narrate his views.
"Mr. Herbs, if you pay attention to the current actual situation in Nagariel, you should find a very clear line, or rather, a thread."
"Federation Sol is gradually replacing Galil in terms of circulation within Nagariel. The recent large-scale parade accelerated this process."
"Because the rise in Galil's exchange rate has made workers in Nagariel dissatisfied with continuing to use Galil as the currency for salary payment, under some specific driving forces we don't know, workers everywhere have started demanding settlements in Federation Sol and have exchanged the Galil they held into Federation Sol."
"The role of Galil is diminishing, it's quietly withdrawing from the circulation market, but neither the United Development Company nor the Nagariel United Kingdom has issued any statement regarding this matter; they are ignoring this occurrence."
"Once Galil's circulation is restricted or it completely exits, it instantly becomes a blank piece of paper, and I believe this might be Federation's way of plundering Nagariel."
"They used an unprecedented method to plunder the country's assets. Once Galil exits the market, Nagariel must immediately start a new legal tender currency to stabilize the entire business community. What is more effective and stable than Federation Sol?"
"No, there's none; Federation Sol will replace Galil. Once this situation occurs, Federations will certainly try to prevent Galil from re-entering circulation, and Nagariel will end up being a financial colony of the Federation."
"If you know or have heard about Mr. Lynch's remarks on 'Financial War' published in Bupen in mid-last year, you roughly understand the benefits of doing this!"
"These are all my speculations, not necessarily correct; there are some issues I can't explain in these assumptions, such as Nagariel authorities' inaction and how the Federation will make Galil exit market circulation..."
The editor-in-chief has very professional knowledge in the related field; he thinks there's this possibility but also needs to solve some problems. As long as these problems are solved, then his conjecture can hold.
The president appreciates his theory; most importantly, these theories can attract people's attention. So no matter whether these problems and conjectures can be solved or hold, first, send out the result.
It indeed attracted big figures; later, using "Mr. Herbs's most valued business consulting agency" alone would be enough to greatly increase magazine sales or directly transform into a financial consulting service agency.
The phone always maintained silence, not even a breather sound was heard. After waiting for a while, the editor-in-chief tried asking, "Mr. Herbs, are you still listening?"
After a few seconds, a sound came from the other side of the phone, "Yes, yes, I am still listening. What do you think is the probability of your view being realized?"
The editor hesitated for a moment, "I'm not sure, Mr. Herbs, I am analyzing with my professional knowledge and my rationality, and it is almost impossible to happen."
"No country would easily abandon its self-issued currency which it is using and has used for many years and switch to another country's currency, which equals completely relinquishing the management and control of the domestic market."
"But from an emotional point of view, what is currently happening perfectly fits my judgment and evaluation of these situations; it is indeed happening."
"I can't give you an accurate figure, that would be irresponsible. I can only say there's a chance, and quite a large one!"
The breathing in the receiver gradually became rough, and after a while, the voice in the receiver rang again, "Thank you for your help, Mr. Editor, my assistant will contact you later, maybe you would be interested in some new work..."
After hanging up the phone, Mr. Herbs rubbed his face forcefully, he finally understood roughly where the problem was.
But now he faces a dilemma, if he withdraws the money in advance and sells it to minimize the loss, then the breach penalty can cause him trouble.
If he bets Lynch doesn't do so, if Galil's exchange rate really just crashes, his loss will be greater.
He thought it over, forced himself to calm down, and then began to arrange the work.
Information is the most crucial factor in the financial markets; you have a better chance of winning if you control more information than others.
Mr. Herbs mobilized all his forces to gather information to ensure he could minimize the loss.
He sat in the room, with the lights off, the bowl of the pipe emanating a faint glow, a cloud of murky smoke suddenly emanated from somewhere, accompanied by a name filled with hatred—
"Lynch!"
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